Tropical Storm 17P (Southern Pacific)

Low 17P Has a Good Chance for Tropical Reformation This Weekend

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center is the forecast center that issues advisories for tropical cyclones in the Southern Pacific Ocean, and they noted on February 26, "Available data does not justify issuance of numbered tropical cyclone warnings at this time" That may change over the weekend, as maximum sustained winds are near tropical depression strength, 34 mph (30 knots) and environmental factors are looking more favorably for further development.

17P's center is near 16.3 degrees South latitude and 163.6 West longitude, that’s about 425 nautical miles east-southeast of Pago Pago. The system is crawling south-southwestward at 2 mph (2 knots).

Tropical Low 17P

Tropical Low 17P May Get a Second Chance

Tropical cyclone 17P may be a low pressure area right now, but environmental conditions have become more favorable to give it a likely comeback as a tropical storm. Forecasters are using satellite imagery and observing various factors to see if 17P may be reborn.

When the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite known as GOES-11 flew over 17P's center on Feb. 25 at 1622 UTC (11:22 a.m. ET), it captured in infrared image of its clouds. The satellite image showed that the storm appears to be getting re-organized, as seen in the circular shape of its clouds.

Tropical Storm 17P

17P low on Feb. 24 at 0709 UTC (2:09 a.m. ET). The rainfall was scattered around the low’s center. The yellow and green areas indicate moderate rainfall between .78 to 1.57 inches per hour. The small red area indicates heavy rainfall at almost 2 inches per hour.

Tropical Storm 17P (Southern Pacific)

Cyclone Gelane Reaches Category Four Strength

Gelane on February 19 at 09:45 UTC (4:45 a.m. ET) that clearly showed the eye of this Category 4 cyclone.

Cyclone Gelane

TRMM Saw 16S Explode in Strength as Cyclone Gelane

Tropical Cyclone 16S was a tropical storm yesterday, and today the storm is at Category Two Cyclone (hurricane) strength.

Tropical Cyclone 16S

Tropical Storm 16S on February 15 at 5:05 a.m. ET (1005 UTC) when it was still coming together and noticed that some strong convection (purple) was flaring up in its center.

Tropical Cyclone Rene (Southern Pacific Ocean)

Cyclone Rene Slams Tonga, Moves Into Open Waters

Tropical Cyclone Rene (15P) when it was off Pago Pago on February 14 at 01:15 UTC.

50 Things To Do/Try

Warty Mammal has written an interesting post about a woman who, upon turning fifty, made a list of fifty things she had never tried.

Warty has begun her own list and challenges her readers to compose their 50 things they would like to try in this next twelve months. I am not sure I could think of 50 things to just try so instead mine is 50 things to either try or do.

Even so I can only get into the 20s so I will publish this list and then update whenever I get inspiration.

So in no particular order this is my bucket list-

1. Get all my recipes written down instead of being in my head (and boy, are there hundreds...lol)

2. Finish writing at least ONE of the many novels I have started .... rotfl

3. Start and finish an New York Beauty quilt

4. Lose weight ......lol

5. Try tofu

6. Get said novel published

7. Paint the perfect portrait (at least in my eyes)

8. Visit Taronga Zoo to see the Orang-utans

9. Hot Air Balloon ride

10. Do some intensive 'in the field' painting

11. Paint the perfect tree/landscape/sea scape

12. Get on an 'even keel' emotionally - be true to myself

13. Spend a few days away alone somewhere just painting

14. Fall "head over heels" just once

15. Learn to play a musical instrument

16. Spend some time outside my comfort zone - either creatively or emotionally

17. Go to the State Art Gallery

18. Spend a few days at the National Art Galley

19. Tour around Tasmania

20. Find a local Indigenous Elder who will accept to teach me their style of art

21. Visit Uluru - Please never climb it but instead be awed by it's majesty and the spiritual significance

22. Paint with Acrylics

23. Lower my carbon footprint (its 4.5 at the moment)

24. Exercise (lmao - hell I don't even know the word...lol)

25. Let's add an impossible dream - cruise Alaska (need to win the lotto for this one lol)

26. Understand String Theory and Chaos Theory

27. Get my relationships in order ... rotfl .... another impossible dream

28. Fly over Antarctia (pipe dream....lol)

29. Go back to NZ and visit some great quilt shops and Rotorua again (love that place)

30. Finish at least three UFO's this year

31. Do some impressionist artwork

32. Visit a Buddhist temple and spend some time in meditation

33. Learn to Lambada

34. Remember how to Tango

35. Meditate daily

36. Carry (and use) an art journal/sketch book

37. Take up Tai Chi (again) and stick to it ... lol

38. Go on an Artist's Retreat somewhere

39.  Experiment with art mediums

40.  Go to Nepal (had booked to go when I met my husband; cancelled & used the money for a house instead ... boo hoo)

41. Tour Kakadu

42. Snorkel (or dive) on the Great Barrier Reef

43. Study some ruins in a far flung place (paint there maybe), spend a few days just enjoying and meditating within them

44. Buy myself a Macro lens for my digital SLR

45. Buy myself a big Telescopic lens for said SLR

46.  Put myself first - finally!!

47. Use Shiva paint sticks on fabric/quilt

48. Go for a ride in some rapids - maybe on a jet boat

49.

50.

Crossing out those I have done....rotfl!

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Tropical cyclone Rene / 15P

SOUTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Rene / 15P
Fiji designation 10F
Warning 07 from JTWC for 2100 GMT
The jump in warning number from 04 to 07 between 1500 and 2100 GMT has been noted
Position 14.3S 168.6W
Location 115 miles E of Pago Pago
Movement 245° (WSW) at 13 knots
Maximum sustained windspeeds 60 knots gusting to 75 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 60 to 65 miles of the centre
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Maximum significant waveheight 23 feet
Threatened landmasses American Samoa, New Zealand
Next update from JTWC at 0900 GMT

Environmental conditions will deteriorate after the weekend, prompting a weakening trend. The storm is now forecast to move on a more southerly course later in the forecast period. Whether Rene will actually impact New Zealand as a tropical system is as yet beyond the forecast’s scope.

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY

DARK RED-ORANGE: DRY; WHITE-MULTI COLOR: MOIST

Tropical Depression Fami Fading Fast

Fami on Feb. 3 at 09:35 UTC (4:35 a.m. ET), and showed the system more resembling a cold front than a tropical cyclone, as it appears stretched out from northwest to southeast. There are also very few strong thunderstorms left in what was once the center.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center issued their last advisory on the system at 1 p.m. ET on February 2 after it crossed Madagascar, and entered the Southern Indian Ocean. At that time it was located approximately 150 nautical miles southwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar, near 21.0 South and 45.5 East. It had maximum sustained wind near 34 mph, but was rapidly fading. Fami tracked eastward at 11 mph (10 knots) into open waters.

Tropical Storm Fami (Southern Indian Ocean)

Tropical Storm Fami Form, Fast and Furious

image reveals that once Fami made landfall, the storm was developing an eye (blue) in the upper levels of the storm.

At 1 a.m. ET (0600 UTC), Tropical Storm Fami had maximum sustained winds near 46 mph (40 knots) and was located in southern Madagascar, about 235 nautical miles west-southwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar. That’s near 21.2 South and 43.8 East. Fami is moving east-southeast near 9 mph (8 knots).

Tropical Storm Oli Kicking Up Waves in South Pacific

Tropical Storm Oli Kicking Up Waves in South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone Olga

Olga Now Raining On the Third of Five Australia Territories

Geese Flying Everywhere

I have put the Jinny Beyer quilt on hold (again) .... can't seem to sort out where the problem is and not much patience with it at the moment so have dragged out another UFO to get stuck into.

This time I can't blame someone else if the pattern is wrong because it is mine .... lol.

I have always like bright colours on black and also like Flying Geese so I figured I would combine the two. I used EQ (5) to design a quilt that used the colours of the rainbow with gradient shades of each colour in strips.

When I designed the quilt was block was only 4 x 10 but changed my mind (girl's prerogative) and made then 6 x 15. Will probably only have one row of each colour now with the larger size; just have to look at how it sits.

I have put one block of each colour together and am pleased with how it looks. Sadly the colours do not photograph as well as real life but at least you get the general idea; they are more vibrant and alive.



The only block I wasn't able to finish was the indigo one. I need one more FQ in a deep indigo to finish the 5 colours and have had trouble finding one deep enough to complete the set.

I have also completed the top of the cot quilt for my new grandson due in early March. I just have to do the quilting and binding then will post a picture for you. It is in beiges and creams and has appliqued sheep, moons, cows and stars on it. I am happy with how it turned out.



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